Check Out the Player Prop Odds for Marlins vs Braves - 4/13/26

+125O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-150

Eury Perez – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
Eury Perez’s 2662-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 100th percentile among all SPs.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Connor Norby – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
Connor Norby’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 88.2-mph average last year has fallen off to 86-mph.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Otto Lopez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-185)
Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Grant Holmes – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)
Compared to the average hurler, Grant Holmes has been given more leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, tallying an extra 3.9 adjusted pitches each start.
Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Mike Yastrzemski – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
Extreme groundball batters like Mike Yastrzemski tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Eury Perez.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
The underlying talent of the Atlanta Braves projected offense today (.323 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a good deal weaker than their .342 wOBA this year.
Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.30 Units / 28% ROI)
Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+6.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Mike Yastrzemski – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+135/-170)
Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.45 Units / 47% ROI)

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