Get Expert Player Predictions for Athletics vs Angels – Sunday September 7, 2025

Athletics

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Los Angeles Angels

As the Los Angeles Angels prepare to host the Oakland Athletics on September 7, 2025, both teams find themselves in a battle for pride rather than playoff positioning, with the Angels sitting at 66-76 and the Athletics at 66-77. The Angels are coming off a tough loss in their last matchup, which adds extra pressure as they look to bounce back at Angel Stadium.

The pitching matchup features Mitch Farris for the Angels, who has had a remarkable start to the season with a 1-0 record and an impressive 1.80 ERA. However, his 4.98 xFIP suggests he may have been a bit lucky, and the projections indicate that he could struggle against the Athletics’ potent offense, which ranks as the 7th best in MLB. Farris is projected to pitch around 5.1 innings, allowing approximately 3.1 earned runs while facing a lineup that has been performing well, particularly their top hitter, who boasts a .462 batting average over the last week.

Luis Severino takes the mound for the Athletics, holding a 6-11 record this season with a 4.65 ERA. While he has struggled, the projections suggest he could outperform his season stats, especially against a high-strikeout Angels lineup that ranks 1st in strikeouts. Severino is expected to pitch 5.5 innings, allowing a similar 3.1 earned runs, but with a slightly better strikeout rate.

Despite the Angels ranking 23rd in team offense and 29th in batting average, they do rank 5th in home runs, indicating potential for power hitting. Conversely, the Athletics excel in batting average (4th) and overall offensive production. The Game Total is set at a high 9.5 runs, suggesting an expectation of scoring, which may favor the Athletics given their recent form and offensive capabilities. The Angels, however, have an implied team total of 4.64 runs, indicating that they may still have a chance to put up a fight in this matchup.

Athletics Insights

• Luis Severino – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Luis Severino’s higher utilization rate of his secondary pitches this year (51.7% vs. 39.7% last season) figures to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Despite posting a .433 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nicholas Kurtz has experienced some positive variance given the .081 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .352.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Brent Rooker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+105)
  In his last outing, Mitchell Farris was firing on all cylinders and conceded 1 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Jo Adell – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-240/+180)
  Jo Adell is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• The Los Angeles Angels (29.4% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the most strikeout-prone set of hitters of all teams today.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Run Line +1.5 (-160)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 66 of their last 111 games (+14.40 Units / 10% ROI)
• Athletics – Moneyline (-110)
  The Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 73 games (+14.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• Colby Thomas – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+390/-600)
  Colby Thomas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 101% ROI)