Check Out the Live Stream Details for Dodgers vs Orioles – Friday, September 05, 2025

Los Angeles Dodgers

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Baltimore Orioles

As the Baltimore Orioles host the Los Angeles Dodgers on September 5, 2025, the matchup promises to be intriguing. Both teams are coming off notable performances, with the Orioles outrunning the Dodgers in their last contest, winning 7-5. The Dodgers, meanwhile, are looking to bounce back from a 5-3 defeat.

The Dodgers enter this game with a solid 78-62 record, ranking 3rd in MLB offensively, showcasing their power with a remarkable 2nd in team home runs. On the other hand, the Orioles, at 64-76, find themselves struggling this season, ranking a middling 16th offensively and 21st in team batting average. The projections indicate that while the Orioles may be underdogs with an average implied team total of 4.06 runs, their offensive capabilities may not fully reflect their true talent levels.

On the mound, the Orioles are projected to start Dean Kremer, who has had a rough stretch recently, allowing 7 earned runs in just 3 innings in his last outing on August 29. His ERA sits at 4.52, and he’s ranked as the 131st best pitcher in MLB, which suggests he’s having a below-average season. In contrast, the Dodgers will counter with Shohei Ohtani, who boasts a stellar 2.59 xFIP, and is currently ranked 5th among starting pitchers. Ohtani performed well in his last start, yielding only 1 earned run over 5 innings with 9 strikeouts.

Given Kremer’s struggles against Ohtani’s elite performance and the Dodgers’ overall offensive strength, the odds tilt in favor of Los Angeles. However, with the projected Game Total set high at 9.0 runs, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see a competitive matchup unfold as the Orioles look to carry momentum forward.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-175/+135)
  Tallying 82.3 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Shohei Ohtani falls in the 23rd percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mookie Betts’s true offensive talent to be a .345, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .038 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .307 wOBA.
  Explain: Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-165)
  The 5th-best projected batting order on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Dean Kremer – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Dean Kremer’s four-seamer utilization has fallen by 5.5% from last year to this one (32.1% to 26.6%) .
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
• Colton Cowser – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
  Colton Cowser is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Baltimore Orioles – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Baltimore Orioles’ bullpen profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 88 games (+14.05 Units / 15% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 68 games (+9.90 Units / 13% ROI)
• Jackson Holliday – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+120/-155)
  Jackson Holliday has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+6.55 Units / 34% ROI)