Get Tickets Information for Mets vs Tigers – 9/2/2025

New York Mets

@

Detroit Tigers

As the Detroit Tigers prepare to face the New York Mets on September 2, 2025, tensions are high following yesterday’s high-scoring matchup, where the Tigers fell to the Mets 10-8. Both teams find themselves in different positions: the Tigers hold a solid record of 80-59, showcasing a great season, while the Mets sit at 74-64, demonstrating an above-average performance.

In this interleague series, Sawyer Gipson-Long is projected to take the mound for Detroit. Despite being the 179th best starting pitcher according to advanced-stat Power Rankings, Gipson-Long has struggled this season with a 0-1 record and an average ERA of 4.32. While he possesses good control, his projections indicate a rough outing today, with averages of 2.5 earned runs allowed over just 4.1 innings pitched.

Conversely, Nolan McLean will be on the hill for New York. Currently ranked 69th among MLB starters, McLean boasts a stellar 3-0 record and an impressive ERA of 0.89. His last outing was dominant, where he pitched 8 innings with no earned runs, further enhancing his reputation as a capable arm in the rotation. However, he does carry some luck indicators, suggesting he may not maintain such an exceptional level going forward.

Offensively, the Tigers rank 11th overall in MLB, with power numbers that have kept them competitive. Meanwhile, the Mets’ offense is among the best, ranked 4th, and has been firing on all cylinders lately. They will likely aim to exploit Gipson-Long’s vulnerabilities while hoping McLean can continue his strong run.

With a high game total set at 9.0 runs and the Tigers currently listed at +110, this matchup promises excitement. Bettors may find value in Detroit as they counter a Mets team that, despite its win yesterday, may not have the upper hand against Gipson-Long’s control style.

New York Mets Insights

• Nolan McLean – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)
  Nolan McLean has been given a shorter leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 6.6 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starter.
  Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
• Luis Torrens – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Luis Torrens has had some very poor luck this year. His .279 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .351.
  Explain: xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.
• New York Mets – Moneyline (-130)
  The 3rd-best projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the New York Mets.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Sawyer Gipson-Long – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
  The New York Mets have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Sawyer Gipson-Long in this matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Gleyber Torres – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  In the past week’s worth of games, Gleyber Torres’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 0%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Detroit Tigers – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Detroit Tigers’ bullpen grades out as the 4th-best out of all teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-150/+115)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 42 of their last 64 games at home (+19.08 Units / 26% ROI)
• New York Mets – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+100/-130)
  The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)
• Brett Baty – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+165/-220)
  Brett Baty has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 50% ROI)