Learn How to Watch the Royals vs Tigers Game – August 24, 2025

Kansas City Royals

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Detroit Tigers

On August 24, 2025, the Detroit Tigers host the Kansas City Royals at Comerica Park for the third game of their series. Following a solid 4-2 victory in their previous matchup, the Tigers look to continue their strong season, boasting a record of 78-53. Meanwhile, the Royals, sitting at 66-64, are having an average season and will be aiming to bounce back after their recent loss.

Jack Flaherty is projected to take the mound for Detroit. Despite a Win/Loss record of 7-12 this year, Flaherty ranks as the 46th best starting pitcher in MLB, indicating he possesses the talent to deliver strong performances. His last outing was impressive, as he pitched 7 innings of scoreless baseball, striking out 9 batters. However, his projections suggest he may struggle today, as he’s expected to allow 2.5 earned runs and 4.9 hits over an average of 5.5 innings.

Seth Lugo, starting for Kansas City, has an 8-6 record with a solid ERA of 3.73. However, projections indicate he could be in for a rough outing, expected to allow 3.1 earned runs and 5.8 hits over 5.6 innings.

Offensively, the Tigers rank 10th in MLB, showing a potent lineup that can capitalize on Lugo’s weaknesses. In contrast, the Royals’ offense ranks 23rd, struggling to generate consistent scoring. The projections favor the Tigers, who have a high implied team total of 4.31 runs compared to the Royals’ 3.69 runs.

Kansas City Royals Insights

• Seth Lugo – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)
  Seth Lugo has been given a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 4.8 more adjusted pitches-per-game than league average.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Salvador Perez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-185)
  Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (34.1) suggests that Salvador Perez has had bad variance on his side this year with his 25.8 actual HR/600.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• The Kansas City Royals (20.3 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 5th-least strikeout-heavy group of hitters of all teams today.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Jack Flaherty’s slider percentage has dropped by 6.1% from last year to this one (29% to 22.9%) .
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Wenceel Perez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-245/+185)
  Wenceel Perez is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Detroit Tigers batters as a unit rank 6th- in the league for power this year when using their 9.8% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Betting Trends

• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+115/-150)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 54 games at home (+15.10 Units / 24% ROI)
• Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
  The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 71 of their last 117 games (+21.25 Units / 15% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+7.35 Units / 123% ROI)