Player Props Preview for D-Backs vs Rockies – 8/14/25

Arizona Diamondbacks

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Colorado Rockies

As the Colorado Rockies host the Arizona Diamondbacks on August 14, 2025, both teams come into this matchup with contrasting seasons. The Rockies, sitting at 32-88, are struggling significantly, while the Diamondbacks, with a record of 59-62, are performing at an average level. This series opener is crucial for both teams, especially since the Rockies recently edged out the Diamondbacks in their last meeting, winning 6-5.

The Rockies are projected to start Bradley Blalock, a right-handed pitcher with a troubling ERA of 7.89. Blalock has had a rough season, with a 1-3 record and an average of just 4.4 innings pitched per game. His last outing was particularly forgettable, allowing 5 earned runs over 5 innings. Conversely, the Diamondbacks will counter with Eduardo Rodriguez, a left-hander who holds an average ERA of 5.68. Rodriguez, who has pitched 20 games this season, also struggled in his last start, giving up 5 earned runs in 5 innings.

Offensively, the Diamondbacks boast the 4th best offense in MLB, highlighted by their ability to hit for power, ranking 4th in team home runs. In contrast, the Rockies rank 25th in offense, showcasing their struggles to generate runs consistently. The projections suggest that the Rockies could score 5.70 runs, while the Diamondbacks are projected for 7.30 runs, reflecting their stronger offensive capabilities.

With the Rockies’ bullpen ranked 22nd and the Diamondbacks’ at 9th, Arizona looks to capitalize on their pitching advantages. As the Rockies fight to regain momentum, this matchup presents an opportunity for the Diamondbacks to assert their dominance in the series.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Arizona Diamondbacks – Moneyline (-170)
  Out of all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Alek Thomas – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Alek Thomas may have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• The Arizona Diamondbacks project to score the most runs on the slate, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Bradley Blalock – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)
  Compared to the average hurler, Bradley Blalock has been granted a below-average leash this year, recording an -7.3 fewer adjusted pitches each game.
  Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
• Hunter Goodman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Hunter Goodman has experienced some positive variance this year. His .358 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .287.
  Explain: xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.
• Compared to their .318 overall projected rate, the .302 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Colorado Rockies projected lineup in today’s game suggests this version of the lineup quite a bit missing some of their usual firepower.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 68 of their last 120 games (+9.40 Units / 6% ROI)
• Arizona Diamondbacks – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-180)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 48 of their last 87 games (+14.65 Units / 12% ROI)
• Geraldo Perdomo – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+140/-185)
  Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.90 Units / 49% ROI)