Betting Trends and Expert Picks for Tigers vs White Sox Tuesday, August 12, 2025

Detroit Tigers

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Chicago White Sox

As the Chicago White Sox prepare to face the Detroit Tigers on August 12, 2025, at Guaranteed Rate Field, both teams find themselves in contrasting positions. The Tigers, boasting a strong 69-51 record, are firmly in contention for a playoff spot, while the White Sox sit at a disappointing 43-76, having struggled throughout the season. In their previous matchup, the Tigers edged out the White Sox with a narrow 2-1 victory, setting the stage for this second game of the series.

On the mound, the White Sox are projected to start Yoendrys Gomez, who has had a tumultuous season. With a 6.62 ERA and a low strikeout rate of 15.1%, Gomez is considered one of the least effective pitchers in MLB, ranked 267th out of approximately 350 pitchers. His projections suggest he may only pitch around 3.7 innings, allowing an average of 2.2 earned runs. In contrast, the Tigers will counter with Jack Flaherty, ranked 57th, who has a more respectable 4.56 ERA and projects to pitch about 5.5 innings while allowing 2.6 earned runs. Flaherty’s recent struggles included a rough outing where he gave up 5 earned runs in his last start, but he remains a reliable option compared to Gomez.

The Tigers’ offense ranks as the 9th best in MLB, bolstered by their powerful bats, while the White Sox offense struggles at 29th. The projections favor the Tigers significantly, suggesting they could capitalize on Gomez’s weaknesses. With a game total set at 8.5 runs, the betting landscape favors the Tigers as significant favorites, but the White Sox will look to exploit any weaknesses in Flaherty’s performance to turn the tide in this series.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Jack Flaherty’s slider usage has dropped by 6.1% from last season to this one (29% to 22.9%) .
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Extreme flyball batters like Spencer Torkelson usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Yoendrys Gomez.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Kyle Teel – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+110)
  Kyle Teel has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Chicago White Sox – Moneyline (+150)
  The Chicago White Sox projected batting order ranks as the 4th-worst of the day in terms of overall hitting skill.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-110)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 47 games at home (+12.05 Units / 21% ROI)
• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-110/-120)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 64 of their last 114 games (+11.80 Units / 9% ROI)
• Gleyber Torres – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+105/-135)
  Gleyber Torres has hit the Walks Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 51% ROI)