Official Lineup for Dodgers vs Giants – 7/12/2025

Los Angeles Dodgers

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San Francisco Giants

As the San Francisco Giants prepare to host the Los Angeles Dodgers at Oracle Park on July 12, 2025, both teams are looking to gain momentum in what has become an intriguing National League West matchup. The Giants, sitting at 52-43, are having an above-average season, while the Dodgers are in a strong position with a 56-39 record. This game marks the second in the series, and the Giants recently edged the Dodgers 8-7 in a thrilling contest on July 11.

On the mound, the Giants will send out Landen Roupp, who has had a solid season with a 3.39 ERA, though his 4.13 xFIP suggests some potential regression ahead. Roupp has been effective in his last start, allowing just 1 earned run over 5 innings, which bodes well for him as he faces a powerful Dodgers lineup that ranks 2nd in MLB with 144 home runs this season. However, Roupp’s high walk rate of 10.0% could be a concern against a Dodgers offense that excels at drawing walks.

Opposing Roupp will be Shohei Ohtani, who is making his first start of the season after some successful appearances out of the bullpen. Ohtani boasts an impressive 1.50 ERA, although his 2.82 xFIP indicates he might also be due for some regression. His ability to limit walks (4.6% BB rate) could neutralize the Giants’ patient approach at the plate, which ranks 4th in walks.

Despite the Giants’ struggles on offense, ranking 24th overall, they have a capable bullpen ranked 5th in MLB. Meanwhile, the Dodgers’ bullpen holds the 4th position. With the game total set at 8.5 runs, the projections favor a higher-scoring affair, potentially giving the Dodgers an edge in this critical matchup.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-155)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team in action today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Michael Conforto – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+135)
  Michael Conforto is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-155)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers projected batting order grades out as the strongest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Landen Roupp – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Landen Roupp (45.7% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in Los Angeles’s projected batting order.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Casey Schmitt – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+205/-280)
  Casey Schmitt has paced 0 swiped bags per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 0th percentile for base-stealing.
  Explain: Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).
• San Francisco Giants – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the San Francisco Giants’ bullpen profiles as the 5th-best out of all major league teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 72 games (+11.30 Units / 14% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 73 games (+9.25 Units / 11% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+110/-140)
  Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.60 Units / 47% ROI)