Get the Latest Score Updates for Dodgers vs Rockies – Thursday June 26, 2025

Los Angeles Dodgers logo

Los Angeles Dodgers

@
Colorado Rockies logo

Colorado Rockies

-280O/U: 12.5
(-105/-115)
+235

As the Colorado Rockies prepare to face the Los Angeles Dodgers on June 26, 2025, at Coors Field, they find themselves in a significantly different position than their opponents. The Dodgers boast a record of 50-31 this season, asserting their dominance in the National League West, while the Rockies languish at 18-62, struggling through a dismal campaign. In their previous encounter on June 25, the Dodgers cruised to an emphatic 8-1 victory, further underlining their current form.

Austin Gomber takes the mound for the Rockies but is projected to face a daunting challenge. He has struggled this season, holding a 0-1 record with a horrendous ERA of 8.38. He was recently battered in his last start, allowing 9 earned runs on 12 hits over 5 innings. His projections suggest he’ll pitch poorly again, expected to allow 4.2 earned runs and strike out just 2.8 batters on average. Gomber’s high flyball rate (53% this year) is concerning when matched against a Dodgers lineup that leads MLB with 127 home runs.

On the flip side, Clayton Kershaw takes the mound for Los Angeles, continuing his strong season with a 3-0 record and an ERA of 3.31. Though his strikeout rate has dipped, he has performed well against high-strikeout offenses like Colorado’s, which ranks 2nd in MLB for strikeouts. Kershaw’s ability to navigate the Rockies’ lineup could be a decisive factor.

With the Dodgers ranking 1st in the league for both batting average and home runs, they have an implied total of 7.76 runs for today’s game. In contrast, the Rockies, despite their offensive struggles ranking 26th in both categories, have an implied team total hovering around 4.74 runs. This matchup tilts heavily in favor of the Dodgers, solidifying their position as the clear favorites in this divisional clash.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

  • Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-280)
    Clayton Kershaw is an extreme groundball pitcher (44% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Coors Field — the #7 HR venue in Major League Baseball — in this game.
    Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
  • Miguel Rojas – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-205/+155)
    Extreme groundball batters like Miguel Rojas usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Austin Gomber.
    Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
  • Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-280)
    The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup profiles as the strongest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.
    Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Colorado Rockies Insights

  • Austin Gomber – Over/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
    Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Austin Gomber has gone to his secondary pitches 7.3% more often this year (66.9%) than he did last season (59.6%).
    Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
  • Brenton Doyle – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-250/+190)
    Brenton Doyle is penciled in 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
    Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
  • Colorado Rockies hitters as a unit rank in the cellar of Major League Baseball this year ( 8th-worst) when assessing their 89.2-mph average exit velocity.
    Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

  • Colorado Rockies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+205)
    The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 21 games (+7.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Over/Under 12.5 Game Total (-105/-115)
    The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 75 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Tyler Freeman – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-145/+110)
    Tyler Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 45% ROI)