Discover the Betting Trends for D-Backs vs White Sox Game – Tuesday, June 24, 2025

Arizona Diamondbacks

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Chicago White Sox

The Arizona Diamondbacks will face off against the Chicago White Sox on June 24, 2025, at Guaranteed Rate Field in what marks the second game of their series. The Diamondbacks enter this matchup having secured a commanding 10-0 victory over the White Sox yesterday, further emphasizing Chicago’s struggles this season. Currently, the White Sox sit at a dismal 25-54, ranking 30th in the league in both offense and batting average. In contrast, the Diamondbacks are performing at a respectable 40-38, benefiting from the 3rd best offense in MLB.

Chicago is projected to start Jordan Leasure, who has struggled significantly this year with a Win/Loss record of 2-4 and an ERA of 4.23. Despite having a decent 3.61 SIERA, Leasure has seen minimal success, having started no games and made 32 appearances from the bullpen. His high strikeout rate (27.2 K%) will be countered by Arizona’s low-strikeout offense, which ranks 5th least in the league. This mismatch could play to the Diamondbacks’ advantage.

On the mound for Arizona is Ryne Nelson, who has been effective with a 4-2 record and a solid ERA of 3.88. While his strikeout numbers are below-average, he faces a White Sox lineup that ranks 4th in MLB for strikeouts. This situation may allow Nelson to capitalize on Chicago’s offensive weaknesses.

The projections suggest that the Diamondbacks will score an average of 4.40 runs, while the White Sox are expected to tally around 4.10 runs. Given the current trajectory of both teams, Arizona appears to hold the upper hand heading into this matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Arizona Diamondbacks – Moneyline (-125)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense profiles as the strongest among all the teams playing today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Jake McCarthy – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Jake McCarthy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the Arizona Diamondbacks in this game holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .309, which is considerably lower than their actual wOBA of .338 this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Jordan Leasure will “start” for Chicago White Sox today but will server as an opener and may not pitch more than a couple innings.
  Explain: Openers have become a common strategy where a relief pitcher is used for the first (and maybe second) inning. This can suppress early run scoring as relievers are generally of a higher quality than non-ace starters.
• Josh Rojas – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  Josh Rojas’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 92.2-mph mark last season has fallen off to 84.9-mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Chicago White Sox – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Chicago White Sox’ bullpen ranks as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-135)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+8.35 Units / 24% ROI)
• Arizona Diamondbacks – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (+105)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 62 games (+16.20 Units / 22% ROI)
• Pavin Smith – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Pavin Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI)