Read Padres vs D-Backs Picks and Betting Odds – Saturday June 14, 2025

San Diego Padres

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Arizona Diamondbacks

The Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres are set to face off in the second game of their series on June 14, 2025, at Chase Field. The Diamondbacks are coming off a solid 5-1 victory over the Padres in their last game on June 13, while the Padres are looking to bounce back after the loss. Currently, the Diamondbacks sit just below .500 with a record of 35-34, while the Padres boast a stronger 38-30 mark this season.

The matchup features two right-handed pitchers, with Zac Gallen projected to take the mound for the Diamondbacks and Ryan Bergert for the Padres. Gallen has had an up-and-down season, holding a 4-8 record and a 5.15 ERA, but his 4.30 xFIP suggests he has been a bit unlucky and could improve. In his last start on June 8, he pitched 7 innings, allowing 4 earned runs, which was considered uneventful. Meanwhile, Bergert, though he has a sparkling 1.26 ERA, has only started 2 games this year, and his 5.55 xFIP indicates he may be due for a regression.

The Diamondbacks’ offense has been one of the best in MLB, ranking 3rd in runs scored and home runs, while the Padres’ lineup ranks 19th overall. With the Diamondbacks’ potent bats facing a pitcher like Bergert, who struggles with control and gives up a high percentage of fly balls, Arizona could capitalize on this opportunity. The projections suggest the Diamondbacks could score around 5.31 runs today, which aligns with their offensive capabilities.

With the Diamondbacks favored at -170, this matchup presents a promising opportunity for bettors looking to back a team that has shown offensive prowess against a struggling pitcher.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Arizona Diamondbacks – Moneyline (-165)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the strongest out of all the teams playing today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• The Arizona Diamondbacks (20.2 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy set of hitters of all teams on the slate today.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• Arizona Diamondbacks – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (-135)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 47 games (+11.75 Units / 20% ROI)
• San Diego Padres – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-155/+120)
  The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.85 Units / 38% ROI)