Starting Lineup for White Sox vs Rangers – June 13, 2025

Chicago White Sox

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Texas Rangers

As the Texas Rangers prepare to face the Chicago White Sox on June 13, 2025, the stakes are low for two struggling teams. Both clubs find themselves far from playoff contention, with the Rangers sitting at 33-36 and the White Sox at a dismal 23-46. The Rangers are coming off a resounding 16-3 victory in their last game on June 12, while the White Sox fell short, losing 4-3 to their opponents.

Tonight’s matchup at Globe Life Field features Shawn Armstrong, projected to make his first start of the season after 27 relief appearances. Armstrong has a solid ERA of 3.33, but his underlying metrics suggest he may have benefitted from some good fortune this year. He projects to pitch only 1.7 innings, allowing 0.8 earned runs, which could put pressure on a Rangers bullpen ranked 28th in the league.

On the other side, Adrian Houser will take the mound for the White Sox. Despite being a below-average pitcher according to advanced stats, Houser has managed a stellar ERA of 1.48 over four starts this season. He pitched well in his last outing, going six innings and allowing just one earned run. However, projections indicate he may struggle tonight, with expectations of 5.2 innings pitched and 2.7 earned runs allowed.

Offensively, the Rangers rank 27th in MLB, yet they have shown some power, placing 12th in home runs. Conversely, the White Sox offense has been the worst in the league, ranking 30th in both overall performance and batting average. This mismatch could give the Rangers an edge, especially considering the White Sox’s inability to capitalize on flyballs.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Adrian Houser – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)
  Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Adrian Houser is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 11th-least of all pitchers today.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Luis Robert – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+135)
  Luis Robert Jr. has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (90% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Michael A. Taylor – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  Michael A. Taylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 7th-deepest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Evan Carter – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Evan Carter has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph to 96.6-mph in the past 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The Texas Rangers have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 62 games (+16.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-115)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 69 games (+10.45 Units / 13% ROI)
• Wyatt Langford – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+480/-800)
  Wyatt Langford has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+7.30 Units / 91% ROI)