Player Insights for Athletics vs Angels – 6/10/25

Athletics

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Los Angeles Angels

On June 10, 2025, the Los Angeles Angels will host the Oakland Athletics at Angel Stadium in what is the second game of their series. The Angels, currently sitting at 31-34, are having a below-average season, while the Athletics are struggling even more with a record of 26-42. In their previous matchup, the Athletics managed to secure a surprising victory, which adds a layer of intrigue to today’s game.

The Angels are projected to start Jose Soriano, who is ranked as the 50th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced statistics. Soriano has made 13 starts this season, holding a 4-5 record and a solid ERA of 4.11. His projections suggest he will pitch around 5.6 innings, allowing approximately 2.4 earned runs. However, he does struggle with hits and walks, which could be a concern against a potent Athletics offense.

Mitch Spence will take the mound for the Athletics. While he has a respectable 2-1 record, his 4.09 ERA does not reflect his underlying performance, as his 4.68 xERA indicates he may be due for regression. Spence is projected to pitch only 4.5 innings today, allowing 2.7 earned runs, which is less than ideal.

Offensively, the Angels rank 22nd in the league, struggling particularly with batting average, where they sit 27th. Conversely, the Athletics boast a much stronger offense, ranking 7th overall and 5th in batting average. This disparity could play a crucial role in the game, especially given the Angels’ projected team total of 4.98 runs, which is notably high.

With the Angels favored at -160 on the moneyline, they will look to capitalize on their home field advantage and turn the tables after last night’s loss. The game total is set at 9.0 runs, indicating expectations for a competitive matchup.

Athletics Insights

• Mitch Spence – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Considering that groundball hitters hold a notable edge over flyball pitchers, Mitch Spence and his 47.3% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome spot in today’s game matching up with 2 opposing GB bats.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)
  Lawrence Butler has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 92.4-mph EV.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Athletics – 2H Moneyline
  The Athletics bullpen ranks as the 7th-worst in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Jose Soriano – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-165/+125)
  Jose Soriano will have the handedness advantage over 6 opposing bats today.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Hitters such as Mike Trout with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Mitch Spence who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Mike Trout projects as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (-165)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games (+9.70 Units / 39% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+11.10 Units / 30% ROI)
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+105/-135)
  Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+7.70 Units / 51% ROI)