Live Stream Details for Blue Jays vs Cardinals – Monday, June 09, 2025

Toronto Blue Jays

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St. Louis Cardinals

The St. Louis Cardinals and the Toronto Blue Jays will kick off their interleague series on June 9, 2025, at Busch Stadium. Both teams are hovering around .500, with the Cardinals sitting at 36-29 and the Blue Jays at 35-30. St. Louis is having a good season overall, while Toronto is considered to be performing above average. Notably, the Cardinals are coming off a loss, dropping their last game 7-3, while the Blue Jays fell 6-3 in their most recent outing.

The matchup features right-handed pitchers Andre Pallante for the Cardinals and Jose Berrios for the Blue Jays. Pallante, ranked 112th among MLB starters according to advanced stats, has had an up-and-down season. Despite an ERA of 4.91, his 3.72 xFIP suggests he has been somewhat unlucky, potentially indicating better performance ahead. In contrast, Jose Berrios, with a solid ERA of 3.67, projects to struggle more going forward based on his 4.62 FIP and 4.41 xERA.

Offensively, the Cardinals boast the 9th best offense in MLB, with a particularly strong batting average ranking of 4th. However, they struggle with power, sitting 24th in home runs. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays rank 12th overall, reflecting an average offensive performance with slight advantages in batting average and home runs.

As the Cardinals aim to strengthen their position in the standings, they will look to capitalize on Berrios’s vulnerabilities, especially given his own inconsistency. The projections favor a close contest with a game total set at 8.5 runs, making this matchup one to watch for both fans and bettors alike.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Jose Berrios – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-160/+125)
  Jose Berrios has averaged 17.5 outs per GS this year, grading out in the 84th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Andres Gimenez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-225/+170)
  Andres Gimenez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (69% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Bo Bichette – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  In today’s matchup, Bo Bichette is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40.3% rate (98th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Andre Pallante – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+125/-165)
  Andre Pallante’s higher utilization rate of his secondary pitches this year (36.3% vs. 30.9% last season) ought to work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Ivan Herrera – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  Ivan Herrera has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 101.4-mph average to last season’s 91.5-mph figure.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 7th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Betting Trends

• St. Louis Cardinals – Run Line -1.5 (+165)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Run Line in 24 of their last 37 games (+11.30 Units / 23% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.30 Units / 17% ROI)
• Victor Scott II – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  Victor Scott II has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.40 Units / 79% ROI)