
Los Angeles Dodgers

St. Louis Cardinals
(-120/+100)+115
On June 8, 2025, the St. Louis Cardinals will face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Busch Stadium in what promises to be an exciting matchup. The Cardinals, currently holding a record of 36-28, are enjoying a solid season, while the Dodgers sit at 38-27, showcasing their status as one of the league’s top teams. In their last meeting, the Dodgers emerged victorious, further solidifying their dominance in this series.
The Cardinals are set to start Michael McGreevy, a right-handed pitcher who has yet to start a game this season but boasts an impressive 0.00 ERA in his limited appearances. However, advanced metrics suggest he may have been fortunate, as his 3.64 xFIP indicates potential struggles ahead. McGreevy’s high flyball rate could be a concern against a powerful Dodgers lineup that leads MLB with 101 home runs this season.
On the other side, Clayton Kershaw, a left-handed pitcher for the Dodgers, has had a rough start to the season with a 5.17 ERA. His underlying numbers, including a 5.80 xERA, indicate he may also be due for regression. While Kershaw has experience on his side, he will need to improve to contain the Cardinals’ offense, which ranks 10th in MLB.
Despite the Cardinals’ underdog status with a moneyline of +120, their offense, ranked 5th in batting average, could exploit Kershaw’s recent struggles. The projections suggest that St. Louis has a chance to outperform expectations, especially if McGreevy can navigate the Dodgers’ potent lineup effectively. With a game total set at 9.0 runs, bettors should prepare for a competitive contest.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Clayton Kershaw – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)The St. Louis Cardinals have 6 batters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage over Clayton Kershaw today.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)Shohei Ohtani has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 101.4-mph average to last year’s 99-mph mark.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-135)The Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense grades out as the strongest of all teams today in terms of overall hitting ability.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Michael McGreevy – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)Among all starters, Michael McGreevy’s fastball velocity of 91.6 mph grades out in the 22nd percentile since the start of last season.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Nolan Arenado – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)Extreme flyball bats like Nolan Arenado usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Clayton Kershaw.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- St. Louis Cardinals – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the St. Louis Cardinals’ bullpen projects as the 10th-worst out of all the teams in the majors.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- St. Louis Cardinals – Moneyline (+115)The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+11.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-120/+100)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 48 games (+4.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+110/-140)Ivan Herrera has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.40 Units / 43% ROI)