Find the Official Lineup for Nationals vs Mariners – 5/27/2025

Washington Nationals

@

Seattle Mariners

On May 27, 2025, the Seattle Mariners will host the Washington Nationals at T-Mobile Park for the first game of their interleague series. Both teams are looking to bounce back from losses in their last outings, with the Mariners falling 5-3 to the Texas Rangers and the Nationals narrowly losing 3-2 to the Chicago Cubs. Currently, the Mariners hold a record of 29-23 and are performing well this season, while the Nationals sit at 24-29, struggling to find their rhythm.

The Mariners will send Logan Evans to the mound, a right-handed pitcher who has had an up-and-down season. Despite being ranked #234 among starting pitchers in the league, Evans boasts a solid ERA of 3.33, suggesting he’s been somewhat lucky this year. His projections indicate he could pitch around 5.4 innings, allowing 2.1 earned runs with 4.1 strikeouts. However, he tends to give up a high number of hits, projected at 5.0 for this game.

On the flip side, the Nationals will counter with Mitchell Parker, a left-handed pitcher with a record of 4-3 and an ERA of 4.39. Parker is also below average, with a 5.14 xFIP suggesting he might continue to struggle. He projects for about 5.1 innings, allowing 2.6 earned runs and 4.8 hits.

Offensively, the Mariners rank 10th in MLB and are known for their power, hitting 70 home runs this season, while the Nationals sit at 17th overall. The Mariners’ ability to capitalize on Parker’s high fly-ball rate and control issues could give them an advantage. With the Mariners favored at -155, the projections suggest they could score as many as 4.66 runs today, while the Nationals are projected for around 3.84 runs, making for an intriguing matchup.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• The Seattle Mariners have been the 5th-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress the rest of the season
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.80 Units / 48% ROI)
• Washington Nationals – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
  The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.14 Units / 22% ROI)