Live Stream for Athletics vs Dodgers Game – Thursday, May 15, 2025

Athletics

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Los Angeles Dodgers

On May 15, 2025, the Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Oakland Athletics at Dodger Stadium for the third game of their interleague series. The Dodgers are currently enjoying a stellar season with a record of 28-15, ranking 2nd in MLB. In contrast, the Athletics have an average record of 22-21, placing them in the middle of the pack. After dominating the Athletics 9-3 in their last meeting on May 14, the Dodgers will look to extend their winning streak against a team that has struggled to keep pace.

Matt Sauer is projected to take the mound for the Dodgers, boasting an impressive ERA of 1.54 this season, despite being ranked as the 239th best starting pitcher in MLB according to Power Rankings. This discrepancy suggests that he may have benefited from some good fortune, and his projections indicate he could allow 2.6 earned runs over an expected 4.6 innings of work. However, Sauer’s high groundball rate (58 GB%) could mitigate some of the damage against a powerful Athletics offense that ranks 6th in MLB with 57 home runs.

On the other side, Osvaldo Bido is set to start for the Athletics. His ERA of 4.75 is considered average, but his higher xFIP of 5.56 suggests he may be in for tougher outings ahead. Bido’s tendency to allow fly balls (45 FB%) could be problematic against a potent Dodgers lineup that ranks 2nd in home runs with 68.

The Dodgers’ offensive firepower, led by their best hitter who has an impressive 1.056 OPS this season, will be a crucial factor in this matchup. The projections indicate a high-scoring affair, with a Game Total set at 10.0 runs, reflecting the potential for explosive offensive performances. With a moneyline of -205 in their favor, the Dodgers are favored to win, making them the team to watch in this interleague clash.

Athletics Insights

• Osvaldo Bido – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+130/-170)
  Osvaldo Bido’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.3 mph this year (93.5 mph) below where it was last year (94.8 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• JJ Bleday – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+110)
  JJ Bleday has been hot lately, whalloping 4 dingers over the last 14 days.
  Explain: Strong recent performance may mean the player is seeing the ball well and will continue to hit well in the near-term.
• Brent Rooker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Brent Rooker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Matt Sauer – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Matt Sauer to be on a pitch count today, projecting a maximum of 85 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• James Outman – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  James Outman is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Sacramento (#1-worst of all teams today).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• The underlying talent of the Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense today (.337 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be considerably weaker than their .349 wOBA this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 5.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.10 Units / 65% ROI)
• Athletics – Moneyline (+175)
  The Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 away games (+7.40 Units / 37% ROI)
• Mookie Betts – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-110/-120)
  Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 38% ROI)