White Sox vs Royals Betting Line and Odds – May 08, 2025

Chicago White Sox

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Kansas City Royals

The Kansas City Royals will host the Chicago White Sox on May 8, 2025, in what promises to be a compelling matchup. The Royals are currently enjoying a solid season with a 22-16 record, while the White Sox are struggling significantly at 10-27. In their last game, the Royals edged out the White Sox with a narrow 2-1 victory, further solidifying their position in the American League Central.

Kris Bubic, projected to start for the Royals, has been a bright spot in their rotation. With a 1.98 ERA and a Power Rankings position of #61 among MLB starting pitchers, he has shown himself to be above average this season. However, his 3.65 xFIP suggests some luck may be involved, hinting at potential regression. Bubic’s last outing on May 3 saw him toss five shutout innings, which should give him confidence heading into this game.

On the other hand, the White Sox will send out Davis Martin. Although he has a respectable 3.52 ERA, his underlying metrics tell a different story, ranking him among the worst pitchers in the league. Martin’s tendency to allow hits (5.7 projected today) could be detrimental against a Royals offense that, while struggling, still ranks better than the White Sox in several categories.

Kansas City’s offense ranks 25th in MLB, but the projections suggest they could capitalize on Martin’s low strikeout rate against a lineup that doesn’t strike out often. The Royals are heavy favorites with a moneyline of -250, reflecting their stronger overall performance this season. With the White Sox’s bullpen ranking 28th, the Royals might find opportunities to extend leads late in the game.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+180)
  In his previous start, Davis Martin was on point and allowed 0 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Josh Palacios – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
  Joshua Palacios has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (69% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• It may be best to expect better numbers for the Chicago White Sox offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Kansas City Royals Insights

• Kris Bubic – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Because flyball hitters struggle against flyball pitchers, Kris Bubic (43.2% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 2 FB hitters in the opposing club’s projected offense.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Maikel Garcia – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Maikel Garcia has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last season’s 90.4-mph mark.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Kansas City Royals bats as a group grade out 28th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when using their 6.8% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games (+11.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• Jonathan India – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-135/+105)
  Jonathan India has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+6.85 Units / 20% ROI)