Find the Best Player Prop Bets for Brewers vs Cardinals – 4/26/25

Milwaukee Brewers

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St. Louis Cardinals

As the St. Louis Cardinals and Milwaukee Brewers prepare to face off on April 26, 2025, both teams are looking to improve their standings in a tightly contested National League Central. Currently, the Cardinals sit at 11-15, struggling to find consistency, while the Brewers are slightly ahead at 13-14, both teams aiming to push toward more favorable records.

In their most recent matchup, the Cardinals dropped a tight game to the Brewers yesterday, further complicating their efforts to climb out of a difficult start to the season. Today, the Cardinals will rely on Sonny Gray, who has been excellent, sporting a 3-0 record and a stellar ERA of 3.41. Despite ranking 26th among starting pitchers in MLB, Gray’s strong performance has kept him competitive, particularly against a Brewers lineup that struggles against quality pitching.

On the other hand, Quinn Priester will take the mound for Milwaukee. Priester has shown flashes of brilliance, exemplified by his impressive 1.93 ERA, though advanced metrics suggest he has benefited from some luck, as evidenced by his 4.30 xFIP. This matchup presents a classic case of the Cardinals’ potent offense against a Brewers staff grappling with inconsistency.

The Cardinals rank 6th in runs scored this season, bolstered by a batting average that sits at 2nd in MLB. Conversely, the Brewers’ offense ranks 18th, struggling to find solid offensive production. The projections lean toward a stronger performance from the Cardinals, who carry a moneyline of -150, indicating they should have the edge in this pivotal matchup.

With a game total set at 7.5 runs and the Cardinals eager to rebound, fans can expect an intense contest at Busch Stadium, with each team battling for crucial early season momentum.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Milwaukee Brewers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+140)
  Over his previous 3 GS, Quinn Priester has posted a terrific ERA of 1.93.
  Explain: A pitcher who has been strong in his recent outings may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Joseph Ortiz – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  There has been a decrease in Joey Ortiz’s average exit velocity this season, from 87.8 mph last year to 82.5 mph now
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Rhys Hoskins – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  Rhys Hoskins pulls many of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-180)
  Sonny Gray is an extreme flyball pitcher (32.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #27 HR venue among all stadiums in today’s game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Nolan Gorman – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Extreme groundball hitters like Nolan Gorman usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Quinn Priester.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• It may be smart to expect worse results for the St. Louis Cardinals offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 4th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 65% ROI)
• Milwaukee Brewers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+140)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+11.20 Units / 51% ROI)
• William Contreras – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+610/-1200)
  William Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+7.80 Units / 78% ROI)