Learn How to Watch the Orioles vs Nationals Game – April 24, 2025

Baltimore Orioles

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Washington Nationals

As the Washington Nationals prepare to host the Baltimore Orioles on April 24, 2025, both teams are struggling in the early part of the season. The Nationals sit at 11-13, while the Orioles are even worse at 9-14. This matchup marks the third game in this interleague series, and both teams are looking to gain momentum after the Nationals dropped their last contest.

The Nationals are projected to start MacKenzie Gore, who has had a decent season thus far with a 2-2 record and a solid 3.41 ERA. Gore ranks as the 57th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced stats, indicating he has been effective despite some misfortune. He projects to strike out an impressive 7.0 batters today, although he also faces challenges with a projected 4.7 hits and 2.2 walks allowed. This could play into the hands of the Orioles, who have the 5th least walks drawn in the league, suggesting they might not capitalize on Gore’s tendency to throw strikes.

On the other hand, Cade Povich is set to take the mound for the Orioles. He has struggled with a 0-2 record and an alarming 6.38 ERA this season, ranking among the worst pitchers in MLB. While his projections suggest he will pitch an average of 5.2 innings and allow about 2.7 earned runs, his strikeout rate of 4.0 is below average, which could be a concern against a Nationals lineup that has shown some power, ranking 9th in home runs this season.

Both teams are in need of a win, and with the game total set at 9.0 runs, the odds reflect a competitive matchup. The Nationals’ offense, while ranking 21st overall, has shown potential with their best hitter recently performing well, including a .333 batting average and 1.083 OPS over the last week. With the Nationals favored at -110 on the moneyline, this game presents an intriguing opportunity for bettors looking to capitalize on the home side’s potential resurgence.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Cade Povich – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
  Cade Povich’s fastball velocity has fallen 1 mph this season (91.5 mph) below where it was last year (92.5 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Jordan Westburg – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
  Jordan Westburg is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Baltimore Orioles – Moneyline (-110)
  The Baltimore Orioles projected batting order profiles as the strongest on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Washington Nationals Insights

• MacKenzie Gore – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-175/+135)
  Compared to the average hurler, MacKenzie Gore has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an additional 9.3 adjusted pitches each game.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• James Wood – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  James Wood has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 99.3-mph average to last year’s 96.6-mph figure.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Washington Nationals – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Washington Nationals’ bullpen profiles as the worst out of all the teams in baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Washington Nationals – Moneyline (-110)
  The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+6.10 Units / 76% ROI)
• Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 56% ROI)
• Nate Lowe – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+640/-1300)
  Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+23.10 Units / 231% ROI)