White Sox vs Rockies Score Prediction and Game Analysis – 7/05/2025

Chicago White Sox

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Colorado Rockies

As the Colorado Rockies prepare to face the Chicago White Sox at Coors Field on July 5, 2025, both teams are looking to bounce back from their recent performances. The Rockies lost a close game to the White Sox on July 4, finishing 3-2, while the White Sox managed to secure the same score in their favor. With both teams struggling this season—Colorado holding a record of 20-68 and Chicago at 29-59—this matchup is critical for both sides.

The projections indicate that German Marquez, set to start for the Rockies, has had a rough go this year with a 3-9 record and a 5.62 ERA. However, his 4.74 xFIP suggests he’s been a bit unlucky, hinting at potential improvement. He managed a solid outing in his last start on June 29, pitching 6 innings with 2 earned runs and 5 strikeouts, which could bode well for him against a struggling White Sox offense that ranks last in MLB in batting average and overall offensive production.

On the other side, Jonathan Cannon, also a right-handed pitcher, has not fared much better with a 2-7 record and a 4.59 ERA. His last outing was abbreviated, lasting only 3 innings but allowing just 1 earned run. With the Rockies offense ranked 25th in MLB, both teams face an uphill battle to generate runs, despite the high game total set at 11.0 runs.

The Rockies have an implied team total of 5.76 runs, suggesting they may have the edge in this matchup. As both teams look to capitalize on this opportunity, the Rockies could find themselves in a better position to win, given the circumstances surrounding their respective pitching matchups.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Jonathan Cannon – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-175/+135)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Jonathan Cannon to be on a bit of a short leash in this game, projecting a maximum of 84 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Austin Slater – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Extreme flyball bats like Austin Slater tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like German Marquez.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the most strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Chicago White Sox with a 27.9% underlying K%.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• German Marquez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  With 6 batters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, German Marquez encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Ryan McMahon – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-210/+160)
  Ryan McMahon has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (93% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Colorado’s 88.9-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the worst in the league: #24 overall.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 5.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 77 games (+8.77 Units / 10% ROI)
• Over/Under 11.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 away games (+11.95 Units / 30% ROI)
• Thairo Estrada – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+105/-135)
  Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+5.00 Units / 11% ROI)