White Sox vs Rockies Score Prediction and Game Analysis – 7/05/2025

Chicago White Sox

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Colorado Rockies

As the Colorado Rockies prepare to host the Chicago White Sox on July 5, 2025, both teams are mired in disappointing seasons that have left their fanbases wanting more. The Rockies sit at a dismal 20-68, while the White Sox are slightly better at 29-59. This Interleague matchup follows a game yesterday where the White Sox fell to the Rockies, marking a continuation of their struggles in what has been a turbulent season.

On the mound, the Rockies will send German Marquez to face Jonathan Cannon of the White Sox. Marquez, who has started 17 games this year with a 3-9 Win/Loss record and an ERA of 5.62, is projected to pitch roughly five innings while allowing around 3.2 earned runs. Although his ERA may indicate struggles, a lower xFIP of 4.73 suggests he’s been somewhat unlucky and could improve moving forward. Cannon, conversely, has a 2-7 record and a more respectable ERA of 4.59 but is expected to struggle against Colorado’s high-strikeout offense, given his low strikeout rate of 18.6%.

Both teams have anemic offenses, but the Rockies rank 25th in MLB, slightly better than the White Sox, who sit at the bottom with the 30th-ranked offense. The Rockies are projected to score 5.75 runs, while the White Sox also have a high team total of 5.75 runs according to the odds. Given recent performances, this game is expected to be high-scoring with a Game Total set at 11.5 runs. With both teams aiming to exploit each other’s deficiencies, this matchup presents an intriguing opportunity for bettors and fans alike.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Jonathan Cannon – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Jonathan Cannon to be on a bit of a short leash in this game, projecting a maximum of 84 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Miguel Vargas – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  Extreme flyball bats like Miguel Vargas tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like German Marquez.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• The Chicago White Sox have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Colson Montgomery, Michael A. Taylor, Kyle Teel).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Colorado Rockies Insights

• German Marquez – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
  With 6 batters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, German Marquez encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Tyler Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+135/-175)
  Tyler Freeman is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Colorado’s 88.9-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the worst in the league: #24 overall.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.