New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox
(-120/+100)+240
The New York Yankees travel to Guaranteed Rate Field to face the Chicago White Sox on August 13, 2024, in a matchup that sees the Yankees looking to bounce back after a surprising 12-2 loss to the White Sox just a day prior. With the Yankees sitting at 70-50, they are firmly in the playoff picture, while the White Sox, at 29-91, have struggled mightily this season.
Jonathan Cannon, projected to start for the White Sox, has been a mixed bag this season. He holds a 3.91 ERA, but his 4.58 xFIP suggests he may have been fortunate, and he projects to allow an alarming 3.2 earned runs today. Cannon, ranked 237th among starting pitchers, faces a tough challenge against a Yankees lineup that ranks 1st in MLB, boasting a potent offense that has scored an average of 6.15 runs in projections for this game.
On the other side, Nestor Cortes will take the mound for the Yankees. Despite a 4.42 ERA, Cortes has shown signs of being better than his record indicates, with a 3.79 xERA suggesting he has been unlucky. He projects to pitch 5.6 innings and allow 2.5 earned runs, giving him a solid chance to control a White Sox offense that ranks 30th in the league.
Interestingly, while the White Sox’s best hitter, Andrew Vaughn, has struggled this season, Andrew Benintendi has found his stride recently, contributing significantly in the last week. However, it may not be enough against a Yankees team led by Aaron Judge, who continues to dominate at the plate.
With the Yankees currently favored at -280 and a Game Total set at 9.0 runs, the projections lean heavily toward a Yankees victory, making them an appealing option for bettors looking to capitalize on the odds.
New York Yankees Insights
- New York Yankees – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the New York Yankees’ bullpen profiles as the 7th-worst among all the teams in the game.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Chicago White Sox – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-115/-115)The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-115/-105)The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 59 games (+20.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-200/+155)Anthony Volpe has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+10.75 Units / 30% ROI)