Uncover Detailed Player Insights for Royals vs Angels – Tuesday, September 23, 2025

Kansas City Royals

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Los Angeles Angels

As the Kansas City Royals visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels on September 23, 2025, both teams come off disappointing losses—Kansas City fell 8-5 in their last outing, while Los Angeles lost 3-1. With both teams sitting below .500, this matchup holds significance for both clubs, albeit for different reasons, as they look to end the season on a positive note.

Los Angeles enters the game with a record of 70-86, placing them 4th in the American League West. Their offense ranks 23rd overall, with a dismal batting average ranking of 29th in the league, though they do boast a powerful lineup that ranks 4th in home runs. The Angels are projected to start Samuel Aldegheri, who has struggled significantly, holding a 10.38 ERA and ranking as the 314th best starting pitcher in MLB. Aldegheri’s last outing was a short 2-inning appearance where he allowed 4 earned runs, raising concerns about his effectiveness.

On the other hand, Kansas City stands at 78-78, positioned 3rd in the American League Central. Their offense, while also underperforming, ranks slightly better at 21st overall, with an average ranking of 16th in batting average. They will send Cole Ragans to the mound, who has been much more effective, ranking 11th among starting pitchers, with a 5.16 ERA. Ragans has shown flashes of brilliance, striking out a notable number of batters while facing a high-strikeout Angels offense.

The projections suggest that Kansas City’s offense could capitalize on Aldegheri’s struggles, particularly given their tendency to avoid walks and strikeouts. Meanwhile, Los Angeles’s powerful lineup could present a challenge to Ragans, especially if they can connect with his flyballs. With a game total set at 9.0 runs, bettors might find value in the Royals as they look to secure a much-needed victory against a struggling Angels team.

Kansas City Royals Insights

• Cole Ragans – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Cole Ragans to be limited in this game, projecting a maximum of 77 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Mike Yastrzemski – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-165)
  Mike Yastrzemski has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 8.2% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Bobby Witt Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Samuel Aldegheri – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+135/-175)
  Sam Aldegheri’s high usage percentage of his fastball (56.8% since the start of last season) is likely hurting his results, considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• Bryce Teodosio – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  Bryce Teodosio’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 84.1-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 79.2-mph over the last two weeks.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• The Los Angeles Angels have 5 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Christian Moore, Denzer Guzman, Bryce Teodosio, Mike Trout, Logan O’Hoppe).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 58 games (+14.20 Units / 21% ROI)
• Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-140/+110)
  The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 92 of their last 153 games (+25.55 Units / 14% ROI)
• Salvador Perez – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+190/-255)
  Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 20 away games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)