Uncover Detailed Player Insights for Rays vs Blue Jays - Wednesday, July 22, 2026

-110O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-110

Tampa Bay Rays – Moneyline (-110)
The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today.
Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
Chandler Simpson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
Chandler Simpson has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 83.1-mph average to last season’s 81.1-mph figure.
Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
Hunter Feduccia – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
Hunter Feduccia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Despite technically being the “starter” in today’s game, Braydon Fisher may not remain in the game more than a couple frames since he will function as more of an opener.
Explain: Openers have become a common strategy where a relief pitcher is used for the first (and maybe second) inning. This can suppress early run scoring as relievers are generally of a higher quality than non-ace starters.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)
Despite posting a .306 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been unlucky given the .065 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .371.
Explain: Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 17.5% underlying K%.
Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-145/+115)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.60 Units / 49% ROI)
Tampa Bay Rays – Run Line -1.0 (+130)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+11.45 Units / 24% ROI)
Taylor Walls – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+140/-185)
Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 28% ROI)

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