Uncover Detailed Player Insights for Rangers vs Dodgers – Sunday, April 12, 2026

Texas Rangers

@

Los Angeles Dodgers

Texas Rangers Insights

• Jacob deGrom – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-150/+120)
  Out of all starting pitchers, Jacob deGrom’s fastball velocity of 96.8 mph ranks in the 94th percentile since the start of last season.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Joc Pederson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.311) may lead us to conclude that Joc Pederson has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .273 actual wOBA.
  Explain: xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.
• Texas Rangers – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Texas Rangers’ bullpen projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in the game.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Roki Sasaki – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+130/-170)
  Tallying 13 outs per GS since the start of last season on average, Roki Sasaki places him the 4th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Freddie Freeman has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 10.3% rate last season to 19.1% this year.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Will Smith – Over/Under Total Bases
  Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110/-140)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.70 Units / 15% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+7.10 Units / 26% ROI)
• Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+130/-170)
  Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+7.00 Units / 46% ROI)