
Texas Rangers
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Boston Red Sox
-110O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-110
(-110/-110)-110
Texas Rangers Insights
- Nathan Eovaldi – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)Nathan Eovaldi’s higher usage percentage of his secondary pitches this year (80.1% compared to 72.5% last season) ought to work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
- Justin Foscue – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+125)Justin Foscue has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Texas Rangers – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Texas Rangers’ bullpen ranks as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in the league.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Boston Red Sox Insights
- Boston Red Sox – Moneyline (-110)Out of every team playing today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Jarren Duran – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)Jarren Duran has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Boston Red Sox – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-105/-125)The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- Texas Rangers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-110/-120)The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Willson Contreras – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+420/-660)Willson Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+6.80 Units / 76% ROI)
