Team Stats and Insights for Rangers vs Mariners Match Preview – 8/3/2025

Texas Rangers

@

Seattle Mariners

On August 3, 2025, the Seattle Mariners will host the Texas Rangers at T-Mobile Park in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. The Mariners, with a record of 59-53, are having an above-average season and currently sit in a competitive spot within the American League West. The Rangers, just a game behind at 58-54, are also exceeding expectations. In their last outing, the Mariners managed to edge out the Rangers, adding some extra tension to this series as they look to gain an advantage.

Projected to start for the Mariners is Logan Evans, who has had a mixed season with a 4-4 record and a 4.22 ERA. While his ERA is above average, his 5.49 xERA indicates he may have been fortunate in some outings, suggesting potential struggles ahead. Evans is expected to pitch around 5.0 innings, allowing approximately 2.7 earned runs, which isn’t ideal against a team like the Rangers.

On the other side, Jacob deGrom will take the mound for Texas. DeGrom, one of the league’s elite pitchers, boasts a stellar 2.55 ERA and an impressive 27.3% strikeout rate. His ability to generate strikeouts could be crucial against a Mariners lineup that ranks 4th in MLB for strikeouts. However, deGrom’s flyball tendencies could play into the hands of a powerful Mariners offense, which ranks 5th in home runs this season.

Despite the Mariners’ current underdog status with a moneyline of +120, they have the offensive firepower to capitalize on any mistakes by deGrom. With both teams showing promise, this matchup could be one to watch closely, especially considering the Mariners’ recent performance against the Rangers.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Jacob deGrom – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)
  The Seattle Mariners have 6 bats in the projected offense that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom in today’s game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Wyatt Langford – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+155)
  Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Texas Rangers – 2H Moneyline
  The Texas Rangers bullpen profiles as the 9th-worst in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Logan Evans – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)
  Logan Evans’s fastball velocity over his last 3 games started (85.9 mph) has been significantly slower than than his seasonal rate (86.9 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his velocity will likely see improved results.
• Dominic Canzone – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  Dominic Canzone has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.4-mph to 96.7-mph in the last 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.9% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+105/-125)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+10.40 Units / 9% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+160/-210)
  Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.10 Units / 28% ROI)