See the Updated Player Rankings for Twins vs Orioles – 5/14/25

Minnesota Twins

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Baltimore Orioles

On May 14, 2025, the Baltimore Orioles will host the Minnesota Twins in the first game of a double-header at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Orioles are struggling this season, sitting at 15-24, while the Twins are slightly better at 21-20. Both teams have had their challenges, with the Orioles ranking 22nd in MLB offense and the Twins at 21st.

In their last outing, the Orioles faced the Twins and suffered a defeat, which further highlighted their difficult season. With Dean Kremer projected to start for Baltimore, the Orioles are hoping to turn things around. Kremer has a 3-4 record and a 5.24 ERA, indicating a rough stretch, but his 4.58 xFIP suggests he might be due for some positive regression. He projects to pitch about 5.7 innings, allowing 3.1 earned runs, and his low walk rate of 5.8% could work against him, especially since the Twins’ offense is one of the least patient in MLB.

On the other side, Bailey Ober takes the mound for Minnesota. With a 4-1 record and a stellar 3.50 ERA, Ober has been a reliable arm, although his 4.19 xFIP hints he may not maintain this level of performance. He’s projected to pitch 5.6 innings, allowing 2.9 earned runs.

Betting markets reflect a close match-up, with the Orioles favored on the moneyline at -120, suggesting a narrow win probability. The Game Total is set at 9.0 runs, indicating expectations for some offensive fireworks. With the Orioles’ bullpen ranked 7th and the Twins’ at 8th, the late innings could prove crucial in this contest.

Minnesota Twins Insights

• Minnesota Twins – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline
  Bailey Ober is an extreme flyball pitcher (42% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #2 HR venue among all major league stadiums today.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.