See the Updated Player Rankings for Brewers vs Red Sox – April 6, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers

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Boston Red Sox

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Brandon Woodruff – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Brandon Woodruff has used his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 62.5% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• David Hamilton – Over/Under Total Bases
  In the last week, David Hamilton’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 90.4 mph to 71 mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• The Milwaukee Brewers have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jake Bauers, Blake Perkins, Garrett Mitchell).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Boston Red Sox – Moneyline (-110)
  Out of all the teams in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Wilyer Abreu – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
  Wilyer Abreu is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Milwaukee (#3-best of all teams on the slate today).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Boston Red Sox – 2H Moneyline
  The Boston Red Sox bullpen grades out as the 3rd-best in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Boston Red Sox – Moneyline (-110)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 119 games (+11.20 Units / 7% ROI)
• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-110)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 80 of their last 128 games (+24.20 Units / 14% ROI)
• Trevor Story – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+125/-160)
  Trevor Story has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.90 Units / 33% ROI)