See the Odds and Betting Tips for Red Sox vs White Sox – April 12th, 2025

Boston Red Sox

@

Chicago White Sox

The Boston Red Sox visit Guaranteed Rate Field to face the Chicago White Sox on April 12, 2025, in what could be a pivotal game for both teams. The White Sox, struggling with a record of 2-10, find themselves at the bottom of the standings and are looking to break out of a rut. Meanwhile, the Red Sox sit at a more respectable 7-7, hoping to capitalize on their rivals’ misfortunes after winning the first game of this series.

The Red Sox will send right-handed pitcher Richard Fitts to the mound, who has been projected to allow 2.3 earned runs on average today, a solid mark that could stifle the White Sox’s struggling lineup. In contrast, Martin Perez, the left-handed starter for Chicago, has been ranked the 200th best starting pitcher in MLB, indicative of his struggles this season. He projects to pitch an average of 5.5 innings, but with concerning averages of 2.5 earned runs, 5.3 hits, and 2.1 walks allowed, he faces an uphill battle against a Red Sox offense that is starting to find its rhythm.

The game’s total currently sits at a low 7.5 runs, reflecting both teams’ recent offensive struggles. The White Sox are projected to score just 3.42 runs, functioning as sizable underdogs, while the Red Sox have an average implied total of 4.08 runs.

With the Red Sox’s best hitter recently achieving a remarkable 0.444 batting average and 1.204 OPS over the last week, they could exploit Perez’s vulnerabilities. Although the odds favor Boston, their performance will be crucial in maintaining momentum against a White Sox team desperate for a turnaround.

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Boston Red Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline
  Richard Fitts is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.2% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #6 HR venue among all parks in this matchup.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Martin Perez – Over/Under Strikeouts
  Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Martin Perez has relied on his non-fastballs 9.6% more often this year (68.6%) than he did last year (59%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Chicago White Sox – 2H Moneyline
  The Chicago White Sox bullpen projects as the 2nd-worst in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.