See the Odds and Betting Tips for Red Sox vs Athletics – September 8th, 2025

Boston Red Sox

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Athletics

On September 8, 2025, the Oakland Athletics will host the Boston Red Sox at Sutter Health Park in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. The Athletics are not in the playoff race and will look to finish the season strong against a Red Sox team vying for postseason contention. In their last outing, the Athletics showcased their offensive power, hitting four home runs as they closed the gap on their disappointing season record of 66-78. Meanwhile, the Red Sox have been steady, boasting a 79-65 record, underscoring their position as a competitive team.

Starting for Oakland is Luis Morales, who has turned heads this season with a strong 1.59 ERA, despite being ranked 135th among MLB starters. Morales, a right-hander with an impressive 27.0 K% this year, will face a Red Sox offense that has the 5th most strikeouts in the league. This matchup could tilt in Morales’s favor, as his high strikeout rate aligns with the Red Sox’s willingness to swing and miss.

On the other side, Boston will counter with Garrett Crochet, a left-handed pitcher who has been nothing short of dominant, posting a stellar 2.67 ERA and ranking 6th among all MLB starters. Crochet’s ability to efficiently pitch deep into games—averaging 6.0 innings—complements a Red Sox bullpen ranked 6th in the league.

The Athletics, despite their struggles this season, feature an offense that’s ranked 6th for underlying talent and excels in power with 199 home runs. Conversely, the Red Sox have a good offense, ranking 8th overall, but their power totals are more modest at 13th in team home runs. Given the current odds, the projections suggest that the Athletics could outperform their low implied team total of 3.71 runs, especially with their recent offensive display. This game promises to be an interesting battle of strengths and weaknesses as both teams aim to achieve their goals for the remainder of the season.

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Garrett Crochet – Over/Under 8.5 Strikeouts (+120/-150)
  Garrett Crochet’s 95.7-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a big 1.4-mph decrease from last season’s 97.1-mph figure.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Alex Bregman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  Alex Bregman is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Sacramento (#1-worst of the day).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Boston Red Sox – 2H Moneyline
  The Boston Red Sox bullpen grades out as the 8th-best in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Athletics Insights

• Despite technically being the “starter” in today’s matchup, Luis Morales may not stay in the game more than a couple framess consider he will function as more of an opener.
  Explain: Openers have become a common strategy where a relief pitcher is used for the first (and maybe second) inning. This can suppress early run scoring as relievers are generally of a higher quality than non-ace starters.
• Tyler Soderstrom – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Tyler Soderstrom has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Tyler Soderstrom – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+120)
  Tyler Soderstrom has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Athletics – Run Line +1.5 (-120)
  The Athletics have hit the Run Line in 48 of their last 80 games (+10.60 Units / 10% ROI)
• Boston Red Sox – Moneyline (-160)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 59 games (+13.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• Garrett Crochet – Over/Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+135/-175)
  Garrett Crochet has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.55 Units / 30% ROI)