Review the Latest Player Stats for Giants vs Brewers – Sunday, August 24, 2025

San Francisco Giants

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Milwaukee Brewers

On August 24, 2025, the Milwaukee Brewers will host the San Francisco Giants at American Family Field in what promises to be a compelling matchup. The Giants are coming off a decisive 7-1 victory over the Brewers in their last game, giving them momentum as they face a Milwaukee team that boasts a solid 81-49 record this season. Despite their recent loss, the Brewers remain one of the top teams in the National League, while the Giants are struggling at 62-68.

The starting pitchers offer an intriguing contrast. Chad Patrick is projected to take the mound for the Brewers, despite his below-average ranking as the 188th best starting pitcher in MLB, with a Win/Loss record of 3-8. However, he has a respectable ERA of 3.61, suggesting he has been somewhat fortunate this season. In his last outing on August 19, Patrick allowed 3 earned runs over 5 innings, a performance that left much to be desired. On the other side, the Giants will counter with Robbie Ray, who has enjoyed a strong season with a 10-6 record and an excellent ERA of 2.85. Ray’s ability to limit runs could pose a significant challenge for the Brewers’ offense, which ranks 11th in MLB overall but shines with a 3rd best batting average.

While the Brewers are favored with a moneyline of -130, the projections indicate a closer game than the odds suggest. The Brewers’ best hitter has been on a tear, boasting a .417 batting average over the last week, while the Giants’ top player has also shown up with a .965 OPS. With both teams looking to capitalize on their recent performances, this matchup could hinge on which pitcher can best command the game.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Robbie Ray – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-145/+110)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have 6 batters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against Robbie Ray in this matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Matt Chapman – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  Matt Chapman is an extreme flyball batter and faces the strong outfield defense of Milwaukee (#2-best on the slate today).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Luis Matos – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  Luis Matos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-135)
  The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams in action today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Caleb Durbin – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Caleb Durbin is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-135)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 121 games (+29.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-140/+110)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 63 of their last 113 games (+9.55 Units / 7% ROI)
• Andrew Vaughn – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+390/-600)
  Andrew Vaughn has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+8.60 Units / 86% ROI)