Review the Latest Player Stats for Dodgers vs Giants – Saturday, September 26, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers

@

San Francisco Giants

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Blake Snell – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Blake Snell’s higher usage rate of his fastball this season (48.6 compared to 43.6% last season) is not ideal consider they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
  Typically, batters like Mookie Betts who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Matt Wilkinson.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Teoscar Hernández – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Teoscar Hernandez has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• Matt Wilkinson – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
  Matthew Wilkinson’s 89.7-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 6th percentile among all starters.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Victor Bericoto – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
  Victor Bericoto has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• The underlying talent of the San Francisco Giants projected batting order today (.284 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit worse than their .307 wOBA this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 0.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-180/+140)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+11.05 Units / 47% ROI)
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Run Line -1.5 (-155)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.00 Units / 25% ROI)
• Mookie Betts – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-120/-110)
  Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.45 Units / 24% ROI)