Review Reds vs Angels Betting Line and Odds – 8/19/2025

Cincinnati Reds

@

Los Angeles Angels

On August 19, 2025, the Los Angeles Angels will host the Cincinnati Reds at Angel Stadium in the second game of their interleague series. The Angels are currently struggling with a record of 60-65, reflecting a below-average season, while the Reds, sitting at 66-60, are having a solid year. The Reds are still in contention, aiming to solidify their playoff hopes, while the Angels find themselves in a difficult position.

In an intriguing matchup, Kyle Hendricks is projected to start for the Angels. He has had a rocky season, with a 6-8 record and a below-average ERA of 4.88, though advanced metrics suggest he may be due for better results. Hendricks projects to pitch 5.3 innings, allowing around 2.8 earned runs, but his low strikeout rate of 16.1% could be a concern against the Reds, who boast a potent lineup.

On the other hand, Hunter Greene will take the mound for Cincinnati. Hailing as one of the league’s top pitchers, Greene ranks 24th overall, with an impressive 2.47 ERA. He projects to pitch 5.5 innings, allowing around 2.4 earned runs and striking out an impressive 7.4 batters on average. However, he has struggled with walks, projected to allow 1.8, which could be capitalized on by the Angels’ hitters.

The Angels’ offense has been inconsistent, ranking 25th in batting average but 5th in home runs, so their power could turn Greene’s flyballs into home runs. The projections suggest the Angels may score around 3.92 runs, despite being underdogs with a moneyline of +125. Conversely, the Reds are projected to score 4.58 runs, which reinforces their status as the betting favorites at -145. With both teams looking to make an impact, this matchup promises to be compelling.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Hunter Greene – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
  Hunter Greene’s 98.6-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a notable 1-mph increase from last year’s 97.6-mph mark.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his velocity will likely see improved results.
• Gavin Lux – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  Gavin Lux has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 94.6-mph over the last 14 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Elly De La Cruz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Kyle Hendricks – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  As forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Hendricks is expected to ring up an average of 3.5 strikeouts in this matchup.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
• Mike Trout – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  Typically, bats like Mike Trout who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Hunter Greene.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the most strikeout-prone lineup today is the Los Angeles Angels with a 26.5% underlying K%.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-120/-110)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 68 games (+21.25 Units / 26% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 93 games (+25.35 Units / 25% ROI)
• Gavin Lux – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+210/-280)
  Gavin Lux has hit the Walks Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 28% ROI)