Read Red Sox vs Angels Picks and Betting Odds – Tuesday June 24, 2025

Boston Red Sox logo

Boston Red Sox

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Los Angeles Angels logo

Los Angeles Angels

-160O/U: 7.5
(-115/-105)
+140

On June 24, 2025, the Los Angeles Angels will host the Boston Red Sox at Angel Stadium for the second game of their series. The Angels, currently sitting at 38-40, are having an average season, while the Red Sox also hold a 40-40 record, indicating a similar status. In their last matchup, the Angels emerged victorious with a 9-5 win, a much-needed boost after a string of inconsistent performances.

Tyler Anderson is projected to take the mound for the Angels. Despite being ranked 215th among starting pitchers in MLB, Anderson has struggled this season, posting a 2-5 record with an ERA of 4.56. His last start was uneventful, as he allowed 4 earned runs over 6 innings. The projections suggest he will pitch approximately 5.7 innings, likely allowing around 2.9 earned runs. His low strikeout percentage (18.2 K%) may be a concern against the Red Sox’s potent offense, which ranks 3rd in MLB for strikeouts.

On the opposing side, Garrett Crochet is anticipated to start for the Red Sox. With an impressive 7-4 record and a stellar ERA of 2.20, he’s ranked 6th among MLB starters and has been a key asset for Boston. His last outing was strong, yielding just 1 earned run over 6 innings, and projections indicate he’ll likely strike out about 7.9 batters today.

The Angels’ offense, while boasting the 3rd most home runs in MLB, ranks a dismal 29th in batting average, suggesting a reliance on power that could be mitigated by Crochet’s groundball tendencies. Conversely, the Red Sox’s offense ranks 9th overall and should capitalize on the Angels’ struggling bullpen, which is rated 30th in MLB.

With a low game total of 7.5 runs set, the Angels are currently underdogs with a moneyline of +140, hinting at a potential value play against a Red Sox team that, despite being favored, may face challenges against a capable starter in Crochet.

Boston Red Sox Insights

  • Garrett Crochet – Over/Under 8.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
    Garrett Crochet’s four-seam fastball percentage has decreased by 11.8% from last year to this one (53.7% to 41.9%) .
    Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
  • Marcelo Mayer – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
    Marcelo Mayer has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.9-mph to 97-mph over the past two weeks.
    Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
  • According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the Boston Red Sox today owns an estimated true talent wOBA of .311, which is quite a bit worse than their actual wOBA of .322 this year.
    Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

  • Tyler Anderson – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
    Tyler Anderson’s 88.3-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.2-mph decrease from last year’s 89.5-mph mark.
    Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
  • Mike Trout – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)
    Bats such as Mike Trout with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Garrett Crochet who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
    Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
  • Los Angeles Angels – 2H Moneyline
    The Los Angeles Angels bullpen grades out as the worst in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
    Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

  • Los Angeles Angels – Moneyline (+140)
    The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 43 games (+11.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Boston Red Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (-135)
    The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 75 games (+6.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Mike Trout – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (+135/-175)
    Mike Trout has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+6.30 Units / 62% ROI)