Read Marlins vs Yankees Picks and Betting Odds – Saturday April 04, 2026

Miami Marlins

@

New York Yankees

Miami Marlins Insights

• Max Meyer – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Max Meyer’s 2509-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season ranks in the 93rd percentile out of all starting pitchers.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Xavier Edwards – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
  Xavier Edwards has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (71% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• The Miami Marlins have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Connor Norby, Austin Slater, Heriberto Hernandez).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

New York Yankees Insights

• Ryan Weathers – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Ryan Weathers is projected to record an average of 16.6 outs in today’s matchup, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• Giancarlo Stanton – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+145)
  Giancarlo Stanton has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year’s 23.47 ft/sec to 24.04 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).
  Explain: Fast players tend to get more hits as they leg out groundballs, more extra base hits, and more stolen bases.
• New York Yankees hitters jointly place in Major League Baseball for power since the start of last season when judging by their 12% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Betting Trends

• New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-200)
  The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 49 games (+19.25 Units / 23% ROI)
• Miami Marlins – Moneyline (+165)
  The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 94 games (+21.45 Units / 21% ROI)
• Jakob Marsee – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)
  Jakob Marsee has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.75 Units / 59% ROI)