Read Giants vs Yankees Picks and Betting Odds – Saturday April 12, 2025

San Francisco Giants logo

San Francisco Giants

@
New York Yankees logo

New York Yankees

+115O/U: 8
(-110/-110)
-135

As the New York Yankees prepare to face the San Francisco Giants on April 12, 2025, both teams are enjoying strong seasons, sitting at 7-5 and 9-3 respectively. The Yankees look to capitalize on their home-field advantage at Yankee Stadium in this Interleague matchup. Interestingly, the Giants had a solid performance in their previous game, contributing to their current winning streak.

On the mound, the Yankees are projected to start Will Warren, who is currently ranked as the 164th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced statistics, indicating his struggles this season. Warren projects to pitch 5.1 innings and allow 2.3 earned runs, but with an average of 4.5 hits and 2.0 walks allowed, he faces a challenging matchup. Conversely, the Giants will counter with Jordan Hicks, who comes in as the 50th best pitcher in baseball. Hicks is projected for 4.9 innings with comparable earned run statistics but has also struggled with walks and hits allowed.

Offensively, the Yankees’ best hitter has been on fire, posting a .481 batting average over the last week with 13 hits in six games, while the Giants’ best hitter has contributed significantly as well, with two home runs and six RBIs during a five-game stretch. This offensive prowess will be essential as both teams aim to outscore the other, with the game total currently set at 8.0 runs, indicating a competitive affair.

Despite the Yankees’ unfavorable pitching matchup, their solid offense and home-field support could tilt the game in their favor, especially considering the close betting lines. The Yankees’ current moneyline is set at -135, reflecting expectations of a tight contest. The projections favor the potential for a Yankees victory today, making this a game to watch closely.

San Francisco Giants Insights

  • San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline
    Jordan Hicks is an extreme groundball pitcher (51.2% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Yankee Stadium — the #3 HR venue among all parks — in today’s game.
    Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.

New York Yankees Insights

  • Will Warren – Over/Under Strikeouts
    Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Will Warren has gone to his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 54.9% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.
    Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.