Read D-Backs vs Dodgers Picks and Betting Odds – Saturday August 30, 2025

Arizona Diamondbacks

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Los Angeles Dodgers

On August 30, 2025, the Los Angeles Dodgers host the Arizona Diamondbacks at Dodger Stadium for the second game of their series. After a dominant performance in their previous matchup, where the Dodgers secured a convincing victory, they will look to continue their success against a Diamondbacks team that remains inconsistent this season.

Los Angeles sits comfortably with a record of 77-58, firmly entrenched in the National League West. Their offense ranks as the 3rd best in MLB, boasting impressive power with a 2nd place finish in home runs. Tyler Glasnow, projected to start for the Dodgers, has a solid ERA of 3.36 and has shown flashes of brilliance, although advanced metrics suggest he might be due for a downturn in performance. His ability to strike out batters (6.7 projected today) could be pivotal, especially against a Diamondbacks lineup that doesn’t strike out frequently.

Contrastingly, Arizona has had an average season with a record of 67-69 and struggles at the plate. Eduardo Rodriguez, slated to pitch for the Diamondbacks, has had a rough year with a 5.67 ERA and a concerning win-loss record of 5-8. His projected performance today is underwhelming, as he is expected to give up 3.3 earned runs and allow 5.5 hits. This aligns with the projections, which highlight his below-average status among pitchers.

The Dodgers are heavy betting favorites with a moneyline of -210, reflecting their strong standing and offensive capabilities against an underperforming Diamondbacks bullpen ranked 29th in MLB. As this matchup unfolds, Glasnow’s ability to control his walks will be crucial, especially against a Diamondbacks offense known for drawing free passes. With the game total set at 8.5 runs, it promises to be an intriguing contest filled with potential fireworks.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Eduardo Rodriguez – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+110/-140)
  Throwing 91.8 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Eduardo Rodriguez places in the 78th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Blaze Alexander – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+115)
  Blaze Alexander is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Gabriel Moreno – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  Gabriel Moreno has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Tyler Glasnow – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Tyler Glasnow’s sinker rate has increased by 10% from last year to this one (8.7% to 18.7%) .
  Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
• Shohei Ohtani – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  Shohei Ohtani has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94.8-mph to 98.5-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-220)
  The 2nd-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games (+9.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• Arizona Diamondbacks – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+165)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 61 of their last 113 games (+15.70 Units / 10% ROI)
• Tyler Locklear – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+210/-285)
  Tyler Locklear has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 42% ROI)