Prediction and Game Breakdown: Yankees vs Angels Match Tuesday May 27, 2025

New York Yankees

@

Los Angeles Angels

On May 27, 2025, the Los Angeles Angels will host the New York Yankees at Angel Stadium in the second game of their series. The Angels are currently struggling at 25-28, while the Yankees boast a strong 33-20 record. This matchup showcases a stark contrast in team performance, with the Yankees ranking 1st in MLB offense, while the Angels sit at 23rd.

In their previous game on May 26, the Yankees triumphed over the Angels, winning decisively 5-1. This victory highlights the Yankees’ potent lineup, which is not only the best in baseball but also excels in power, ranking 1st in home runs with 86. In contrast, the Angels have shown some pop themselves, ranking 4th in home runs, but their overall offensive struggles, including a 26th rank in batting average, have hindered their success.

Tyler Anderson is projected to take the mound for the Angels. He has had a mixed season, with a 2-1 record and a solid 3.60 ERA, but his 5.18 xFIP suggests he may have been riding some good fortune. Anderson’s high walk rate of 9.8% could be problematic against a Yankees lineup that leads the league in walks drawn. Meanwhile, Carlos Rodon will start for New York, carrying a 6-3 record and an impressive 2.88 ERA. His ability to generate strikeouts—31.0% strikeout rate—will be crucial against an Angels team that ranks 2nd in strikeouts.

With the Angels listed as significant underdogs at +175, the projections suggest a low implied team total of 3.54 runs. This game could further emphasize the Yankees’ dominance, especially given their recent form and the offensive disparities between the two teams.

New York Yankees Insights

• New York Yankees – Moneyline (-210)
  Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• The underlying talent of the New York Yankees projected lineup today (.334 projected wOBA per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be considerably weaker than their .349 wOBA this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Los Angeles Angels – 2H Moneyline
  The Los Angeles Angels bullpen ranks as the 6th-worst in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-110/-120)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.05 Units / 23% ROI)
• New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (-140)
  The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 53 games (+6.75 Units / 11% ROI)