Player Props Preview for Red Sox vs Brewers – 5/27/25

Boston Red Sox

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Milwaukee Brewers

The Milwaukee Brewers host the Boston Red Sox on May 27, 2025, in the second game of their interleague series. Both teams are struggling to find their footing, with the Brewers sitting at 27-28 and the Red Sox slightly worse at 27-29. The Brewers managed to edge the Red Sox 3-2 in their last matchup on May 26, marking a rare win for a team that ranks 25th in overall offensive production this season.

On the mound, the Brewers are set to start Aaron Civale, who has had a rocky season with a 0-1 record and an alarming ERA of 9.00. However, advanced metrics suggest he might be due for a turnaround, as his 6.24 xFIP indicates he has been unlucky thus far. Civale is a low-strikeout pitcher facing a Red Sox offense that ranks 3rd in the league for strikeouts, potentially giving him a slight edge if he can induce some swings and misses.

Richard Fitts will take the hill for the Red Sox, bringing a solid 3.18 ERA to the game. He has started three games this season, but his luck may be running out, as his xFIP of 4.29 suggests he might not sustain this level of performance. Fitts’s last outing was impressive, where he pitched five innings without allowing an earned run, showcasing his potential to dominate.

While the Brewers’ offense has struggled overall, they excel in stolen bases, ranking 2nd in MLB, which could be crucial against Fitts. Conversely, the Red Sox boast a potent lineup, ranking 6th in overall offensive performance and 8th in team batting average, giving them a significant advantage in run production.

With both teams looking to improve their standings, this matchup promises to be competitive, especially given the close odds from sportsbooks. The Game Total is set at 8.0 runs, indicating expectations for a balanced offensive output. As the Brewers aim to build on their recent victory, they might just surprise the Red Sox again.

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Boston Red Sox – 2H Moneyline
  The Boston Red Sox bullpen grades out as the 8th-best in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-115/-105)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.35 Units / 31% ROI)
• Boston Red Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-150)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.95 Units / 57% ROI)