Player Prop Picks for Twins vs Athletics – 6/3/2025

Minnesota Twins

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Athletics

As the Minnesota Twins and the Oakland Athletics prepare for their matchup on June 3, 2025, both teams are coming off a notable game yesterday, where the Twins triumphed over the Athletics by a score of 10-4. While the Twins are riding the momentum of that victory, the Athletics are struggling this season, holding a record of 23-38, which marks them among the bottom teams in the league.

In this American League clash, the Athletics will send Osvaldo Bido to the mound, who is having a particularly rough season with a 2-4 record and an unsightly ERA of 5.82. Bido has struggled in his last start, allowing 6 earned runs over just 2 innings pitched. On the other hand, the Twins will counter with Pablo Lopez, who has been one of the league’s better pitchers, boasting a 4-3 record and a stellar ERA of 2.75. Lopez’s performance has been solid overall, although he did allow 4 earned runs in his last outing.

The Athletics’ offense has surprisingly ranked as the 8th best in MLB this season, showcasing their underlying talent despite their poor win-loss record. They are particularly effective in hitting for average, ranking 6th in team batting average. However, their inability to convert this talent into consistent wins has hampered their season significantly. Conversely, the Twins’ offense has been below average, holding the 20th spot in MLB rankings, and they will need to step up to support Lopez.

With the Athletics listed as +180 underdogs and the Twins favored at -210, the projections suggest a higher implied team total for the Twins at 5.87 runs compared to the Athletics’ 4.13. This matchup features a significant pitching disparity that could heavily influence the outcome, making it an intriguing game for bettors.

Minnesota Twins Insights

• Minnesota Twins – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-210)
  Pablo Lopez is an extreme groundball pitcher (45.1% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Sutter Health Park — the #9 HR venue in the majors — today.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
• Byron Buxton – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Extreme flyball hitters like Byron Buxton generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Jacob Lopez.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• The Minnesota Twins have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Athletics Insights

• Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+160)
  Osvaldo Bido will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing batters in today’s game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Luis Urias – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Luis Urias has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 5.2% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Athletics – 2H Moneyline
  The Athletics bullpen ranks as the 8th-worst in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 10.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 57 games (+12.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• Over/Under 10.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 51 games (+13.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• Byron Buxton – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-115/-115)
  Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+6.90 Units / 45% ROI)