Player Prop Odds for Yankees vs Blue Jays – Sunday October 05, 2025

New York Yankees

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Toronto Blue Jays

New York Yankees Insights

• New York Yankees – Moneyline (-150)
  Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the New York Yankees.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Aaron Judge – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Aaron Judge is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Toronto (#1-best of all teams on the slate).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• New York Yankees – 2H Moneyline
  The New York Yankees bullpen projects as the 6th-best in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Trey Yesavage – Over/Under 10.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)
  Trey Yesavage has been given less leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 18 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than average.
  Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
• Davis Schneider – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-120/-110)
  Davis Schneider is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (+130)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 129 games (+20.44 Units / 12% ROI)
• New York Yankees – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-160)
  The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 38 of their last 59 games (+20.35 Units / 21% ROI)
• Ernie Clement – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+105/-135)
  Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+7.35 Units / 46% ROI)