Player Prop Odds for Braves vs Dodgers – Wednesday April 02, 2025

Atlanta Braves

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Los Angeles Dodgers

On April 2, 2025, the Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Atlanta Braves at Dodger Stadium in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. The Dodgers are off to a blistering start this season, boasting a perfect 7-0 record, while the Braves have struggled significantly, sitting at 0-6. This game marks the third in the series between these two teams, and the Dodgers will look to continue their dominance.

Blake Snell is projected to take the mound for the Dodgers. While he has a solid 1-0 record this year and a respectable ERA of 3.60, advanced metrics suggest he may not be as fortunate moving forward, as his 6.28 xFIP indicates potential regression. Nevertheless, Snell’s ability to strike out batters—projected at an impressive 7.2 strikeouts per game—could be crucial against a Braves offense that ranks 4th in the league for strikeouts.

On the other side, Bryce Elder will start for Atlanta. The projections indicate that he might struggle, as he is expected to pitch only 5.0 innings while allowing an average of 3.0 earned runs. His below-average strikeout rate of 4.0 batters per game underscores the challenges he may face against a potent Dodgers lineup that ranks 13th overall in offensive talent, despite struggling with batting average at 27th in the league.

The Dodgers have a high implied team total of 4.78 runs for this game, while the Braves sit at a low 3.22. Considering the Dodgers’ strong bullpen, ranked 2nd in MLB, and their current form, they are favored to extend their winning streak and capitalize on the Braves’ ongoing struggles.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Atlanta Braves – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+200)
  Bryce Elder is an extreme groundball pitcher (48.8% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Dodger Stadium — the #2 HR venue in Major League Baseball — in today’s game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
• Matt Olson – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-125/-105)
  Matt Olson’s speed has decreased this season. His 25.49 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 22.71 ft/sec now.
  Explain: Slow players tend to get fewer hits because they can’t beat out groundballs, fewer extra base hits, and fewer stolen bases.
• Atlanta Braves – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Atlanta Braves’ bullpen profiles as the 7th-best among all major league teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Blake Snell – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Blake Snell’s higher usage percentage of his secondary pitches this season (65.2% vs. 53.6% last year) ought to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  Max Muncy is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the strong outfield defense of Atlanta (#3-best of all teams on the slate).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  In today’s game, Max Muncy is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 39.2% rate (97th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 71 of their last 116 games (+27.95 Units / 22% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 137 games (+30.10 Units / 20% ROI)
• Teoscar Hernandez – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+140/-180)
  Teoscar Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 15 games at home (+7.45 Units / 50% ROI)