Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
(-120/+100)-145
As the Houston Astros prepare to host the Los Angeles Angels at Minute Maid Park on April 12, 2025, they find themselves in a challenging position, currently sitting at 5-7 this season. The Astros are coming off a tough loss against the Angels in their previous matchup, where they struggled to find their rhythm. Meanwhile, the Angels are riding high with an 8-4 record, showcasing their strong start to the season.
On the mound, the Astros are projected to start Ryan Gusto, who ranks as the 209th best starting pitcher in MLB, making him one of the least effective options in the league. Gusto is expected to pitch around 4.2 innings while allowing 2.3 earned runs and striking out 3.8 batters. His projections indicate a rough outing, especially given that he allows an alarming 4.1 hits and 1.3 walks on average.
Conversely, the Angels will counter with Tyler Anderson, who, while not stellar, is projected to pitch a more respectable 5.5 innings with an average of 3.2 earned runs allowed. Anderson’s performance will be crucial as he aims to limit damage against a struggling Astros lineup.
The Astros’ best hitter has been a bright spot, batting .375 with a 1.048 OPS over the last week, contributing significantly with 9 hits and 5 RBIs. However, the Angels’ top performer is also on fire, boasting a .368 average and a 1.455 OPS, including 4 home runs in the past week.
With a Game Total set at 8.5 runs, the Astros are favored with a moneyline of -145, suggesting a team total of 4.58 runs. Despite their recent struggles, the Astros will look to leverage their home advantage and the projections hint at a potential for an upset against the Angels, who have shown vulnerability despite their strong start.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Tyler Anderson – Over/Under Pitching OutsCompared to the average starter, Tyler Anderson has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, throwing an extra 4.6 adjusted pitches each game.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.