Player Insights for Brewers vs Dodgers - 10/16/25

+145O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-165

Aaron Ashby – Over/Under 1.5 Strikeouts (+175/-230)
Aaron Ashby has a reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 6 opposite-handed hitters today.
Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Jake Bauers – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)
Jake Bauers is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Los Angeles (#3-best of all teams on the slate today).
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)
Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Tyler Glasnow – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
Tyler Glasnow’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.3 mph this season (95.1 mph) below where it was last year (96.4 mph).
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
Teoscar Hernandez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-215/+165)
Teoscar Hernandez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (97% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-165)
The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup profiles as the strongest on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 91 games (+14.15 Units / 14% ROI)
Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (+145)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 116 games (+26.35 Units / 16% ROI)
Mookie Betts – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-255/+190)
Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.95 Units / 22% ROI)

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