
Texas Rangers
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Los Angeles Dodgers
+200O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-230
(-110/-110)-230
Texas Rangers Insights
- Kumar Rocker – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)The Los Angeles Dodgers have 6 batters in the projected offense that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kumar Rocker today, which is especially precarious given his large platoon split.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Joc Pederson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)Joc Pederson has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .271 figure is considerably lower than his .311 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.Explain: xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.
- Josh Jung – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)Josh Jung hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Tyler Glasnow – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-150/+120)Out of all starters, Tyler Glasnow’s fastball spin rate of 2527.8 rpm ranks in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+130)Max Muncy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-230)The best projected batting order of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-230)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+4.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- Texas Rangers – Run Line +1.5 (-110)The Texas Rangers have hit the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+6.35 Units / 11% ROI)
