Odds and Betting Trends for Mets vs Cardinals – 5/4/25

New York Mets

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St. Louis Cardinals

As the St. Louis Cardinals and the New York Mets prepare for their matchup on May 4, 2025, both teams are looking to establish momentum in this critical double-header. The Cardinals are struggling with a 14-19 record this season, while the Mets boast a strong 22-11 mark, indicating a stark contrast in recent performances. In their previous game, the Mets secured a convincing victory, further solidifying their position against a slumping Cardinals squad.

On the mound, St. Louis is set to start Erick Fedde. He has had a rough season with a 1-3 record and is currently ranked as the 127th best starter in MLB, suggesting below-average performance. Fedde’s ERA stands at a middle-of-the-road 4.68, but his 5.50 xFIP indicates he may be due for more struggles. The projections suggest he will pitch 5.7 innings while allowing an average of 2.8 earned runs, though he is expected to strike out only 4.3 batters, which could be problematic against the Mets’ low-strikeout lineup.

Opposing him will be Blade Tidwell, who has also struggled, being rated among the worst pitchers in MLB. Tidwell projects to pitch just 4.9 innings with an average of 2.5 earned runs allowed. The Cardinals offense ranks 12th best overall and 4th in batting average, which may give them an edge at the plate, especially if they can capitalize on Tidwell’s inefficiencies.

With a Game Total set at a high 9.0 runs and the Cardinals’ moneyline sitting at +115, bookmakers see this matchup as potentially close. Given their offensive strengths against a faltering pitcher like Tidwell, the Cardinals might just be poised to outperform expectations in this encounter.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Andre Pallante – Over/Under Strikeouts
  When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Andre Pallante in the 6th percentile among all SPs in the league.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.