
Chicago White Sox
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Milwaukee Brewers
+165O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-190
(-110/-110)-190
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Chicago White Sox – Moneyline (+165)Among every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Luisangel Acuna – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-140/+110)Luisangel Acuna is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of Milwaukee (#3-best of the day).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Chicago White Sox – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Chicago White Sox’ bullpen grades out as the 4th-best among all major league teams.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Milwaukee Brewers Insights
- Jacob Misiorowski – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-155/+120)Jacob Misiorowski has been given a below-average leash since the start of last season, throwing 10.4 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher.Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
- Christian Yelich – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)Hitting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Christian Yelich will have an advantage in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- William Contreras – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-190)The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 100 of their last 168 games (+22.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- Chicago White Sox – Run Line +1.5 (-135)The Chicago White Sox have hit the Run Line in 72 of their last 122 games (+12.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)Miguel Vargas has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.90 Units / 66% ROI)
