Match Preview: Tigers vs White Sox Game Forecast and Analysis – Monday, June 2, 2025

Detroit Tigers

@

Chicago White Sox

As the Chicago White Sox prepare to host the Detroit Tigers on June 2, 2025, both teams are coming off contrasting performances in their last games. The White Sox fell just short against the Tigers, losing 3-2 on June 1, while the Tigers notched a solid 1-0 victory, showcasing their strong pitching. With the White Sox sitting at 18-41 this season, they are struggling significantly, while the Tigers boast an impressive 39-21 record, making this matchup all the more compelling for bettors.

The matchup features White Sox’s Jonathan Cannon, projected to start, against the Tigers’ Jack Flaherty. Cannon, ranked as the 208th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced-stat Power Rankings, has a Win/Loss record of 2-6 and an ERA of 4.15. His performance has been inconsistent, and projections suggest he may allow around 3.2 earned runs today, which spells trouble for a White Sox offense that ranks 28th in MLB.

On the other side, Flaherty, who is 59th in the same rankings, has had better luck with a 3.94 ERA. Despite a similar Win/Loss record of 3-6, projections suggest he could excel today, limiting the White Sox to an average of 2.6 earned runs. The Tigers’ offense ranks 9th in MLB, demonstrating their ability to capitalize on opportunities, making Cannon’s job even tougher.

The current Game Total is set at 8.5 runs, and with the Tigers having an implied team total of 5.15 runs, it’s clear they are expected to dominate this matchup. As the odds favor the Tigers significantly, this game could serve as a litmus test for both teams as they continue their seasons.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-245)
  Jack Flaherty is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.6% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #5 HR venue in MLB in this matchup.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Gleyber Torres – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)
  Gleyber Torres has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last year’s 90-mph average.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Detroit Tigers – 2H Moneyline
  The Detroit Tigers bullpen projects as the 7th-best in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Chicago White Sox Insights

• Jonathan Cannon – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Jonathan Cannon has used his cut-fastball 5.8% more often this season (25.6%) than he did last season (19.8%).
  Explain: Because cutters are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Josh Palacios – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Extreme groundball hitters like Joshua Palacios are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jack Flaherty.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Lenyn Sosa – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  Lenyn Sosa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +1.0 (-110)
  The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.60 Units / 22% ROI)
• Detroit Tigers – Moneyline (-245)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 53 games (+15.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• Dillon Dingler – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-110/-120)
  Dillon Dingler has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.65 Units / 64% ROI)