Match Preview: Astros vs Orioles Game Forecast – Saturday, August 24, 2024

Houston Astros

@

Baltimore Orioles

As the Baltimore Orioles and Houston Astros meet for the third game of their series on August 24, 2024, both teams are looking to increase their standing as they approach the postseason. The Orioles sit at a strong 75-55, currently eyeing a division title, while the Astros hold a record of 69-59, positioned in the middle of the playoff race. In their last matchup on August 23, Baltimore secured a close 7-5 victory, adding another win to their impressive campaign.

The pitching matchup features Baltimore’s Albert Suarez, who has had an inconsistent season with a 6-4 record and an ERA of 3.18. Though he pitched well in his last start, going six scoreless innings, his overall performance suggests he may have been a bit lucky, with a higher xFIP of 4.49. He faces off against Houston’s Framber Valdez, a standout with an elite ranking of 13th among MLB starters and a solid 3.20 ERA. Valdez’s recent form includes a brilliant outing where he threw seven shutout innings, striking out nine batters.

Offensively, the Orioles boast the 1st best power ranking in the league, leading with 157 home runs, while their batting average ranks 7th overall. The Astros, on the other hand, excel in hitting for average, holding the 2nd highest batting average in MLB. Despite this, projections indicate that the Orioles might struggle to generate runs today, while the Astros could capitalize on their offensive capabilities against a vulnerable Suarez.

According to the leading MLB projection system, the Astros are favored to win this matchup, with a projected win probability that exceeds what the betting markets suggest, making them an attractive option for bettors looking for value. With both teams fighting for every win, expect a competitive game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Houston Astros Insights

• Houston Astros – 2H Moneyline
  The Houston Astros bullpen ranks as the 8th-best in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Baltimore Orioles – Run Line +1.5 (-175)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 46 of their last 81 games (+16.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 63 of their last 108 games (+15.50 Units / 13% ROI)
• Colton Cowser – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+110/-140)
  Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+13.30 Units / 38% ROI)